I whipped up some overnight odds using The Saw’s numbers and a bastardized system that accounts for pretty much everything but the difficulty of the holes left to be played in Round 2 (if any) and differences in difficulty based on time playing the course (which may or may not matter). These may or may not be accurate (I personally think the overrate those who have posted higher scores because Kuchar comes out as essentially even value when there’s no way he’s going to be released that way by the books after his year and first two rounds), but they’re at least something.
Zach Johnson and Phil Mickelson are likely listed erroneously by 5Dimes. These odds like Dufner, Furyk, Villegas, and Molder to be value over what 5Dimes has, which makes sense. Villegas’s game has been a mess lately, Furyk is very underrated, and Holmes, Molder and Dufner don’t get really any press and are mediocre in general (though Holmes and Molder have had solid years). Depending on how much you trust Rickie Fowler’s standard deviation, he might be a look, but I doubt the books would offer value on him.
